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Nasdaq 100 faces a pullback greater than 50%, investor Dan Suzuki warns

Posted on February 1, 2022January 28, 2022 By le1VHvD7kM 66 Comments on Nasdaq 100 faces a pullback greater than 5066, investor Dan Suzuki warns

Dan Suzuki, Richard Bernstein Advisors deputy chief investment officer, breaks down the move in rates and stocks. With CNBC's Brian Sullivan and the Fast Money traders, Guy Adami, Tim Seymour, Dan Nathan and Jeff Mills. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO:  

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Comments (66) on “Nasdaq 100 faces a pullback greater than 50%, investor Dan Suzuki warns”

  1. Boone says:
    January 18, 2022 at 7:06 pm

    QQQ’s first close under some key averages in over a year is a bit concerning, 200 day hold will be key this week. If the 10 year breaks 2%, could see a deeper pullback.

    1. CNBC TV ➕⑧① ⑦⓪⑧④①①①③①⑨ says:
      January 18, 2022 at 7:08 pm

      DM ⬆️ to get financial freedom

  2. andy96356 says:
    January 18, 2022 at 7:16 pm

    He’s forgetting that these stock that are being destroyed are the future of tech and many of them will 10 x in 5 years

    1. Googlebanmetoomuch 2 says:
      January 18, 2022 at 9:34 pm

      85% overvalued

    2. Paul Clinton says:
      January 19, 2022 at 8:32 pm

      They can crash for a year and come back up.

    3. Nicholas Haley says:
      January 21, 2022 at 6:34 am

      You’re forgetting that they are speculative. Many are valued for the future already and we don’t know which companies will actually be successful or run efficiently. Many will not make it

    4. Gogalen789 says:
      January 21, 2022 at 2:57 pm

      Time will tell, wize man say.

    5. Paul Adam says:
      January 22, 2022 at 7:49 am

      Exactly. It is a great opportunity.

  3. Mark A says:
    January 18, 2022 at 7:28 pm

    In summary, “I’m shorting the market, please sell out of fear so I make $$$.” This guy literally said “Its never too early to sell.” I’ll correct him, dollar cost average and dont give your shares away for cheap. The market has faced bigger scares and has always recovered stronger than before. Keep extra cash on the sideline for more dips.

    1. Mark A says:
      January 21, 2022 at 3:20 pm

      @Christian regarding what, exactly? My position is to continue DCA’ing while hedging my own position via options. What about that is incorrect? If you want to “rest your case”, come back to this in a year. Mine is a longterm strategy.

    2. Christian says:
      January 21, 2022 at 6:09 pm

      @Mark A You said it was wrong of the guy saying it is never too early to sell. Seems like holding was the mistake here. Of course you’re going to make money in the long run. That’s how investing works. I’m just saying that you would have made a lot more if you hadn’t kept buying into a market correction. What kind of sense does that make? There’s a reason why people who actually beat the market are reducing their exposure right now, not continuing to buy. I’m sure your account is flashing red right now, and it’s only going to reduce your potential returns 10, 20 years down the road. If you want to burn cash during a 13% dip, then go ahead. You’re only helping me.

    3. Christian says:
      January 21, 2022 at 6:38 pm

      @Mark A honestly it doesn’t matter. Good luck with your investments

    4. HansGruber says:
      January 22, 2022 at 1:12 am

      @Rich Gordon Of course, and then the market continues upward. There is always a wall of worry to climb, and it has climbed it over the last 100 years. This guy is trading market short, over a short period of time, so of course he’s gonna say “never too early to sell”, which is bs for long term inestors

    5. J1 says:
      January 26, 2022 at 7:54 pm

      That’s what I’m saying!!! I’m not gona buy into fear… I believe my portfolio is good… Alot of red but it’s in good hands… As long as I dca I’ll be fine in 20 yrs… Lol I hold both ETFs and single stocks… I think I’m in good hands… 🤔

  4. mw99ch says:
    January 18, 2022 at 7:53 pm

    Big tech for half the price? That would be the opportunity of a life time. I can only wish for that. I doubt its gonna happen.

    1. frank paulin says:
      January 19, 2022 at 9:10 am

      it wont happen lol

    2. studio-aziz says:
      January 21, 2022 at 7:15 am

      Amazon dropped 90% after tech bubble crashed

    3. mw99ch says:
      January 21, 2022 at 9:13 am

      @studio-aziz i know its fancy to repeat the dot com bubble. Its not the same today. Big tech is making billions. If big tech falls 90% due to an overreaction i would sell anything i got and invest in them to get rich later on. That would be absolutely awesome. Wont happen.

    4. videogaminglmao says:
      January 22, 2022 at 1:26 am

      @studio-aziz amazon was a speculative online book store bakc then… now they have AWS which is insanely profitable and growing fast

  5. Daniel Mejia says:
    January 18, 2022 at 8:10 pm

    Love the enthusiasm here. Hope you guys are super enthusiastic when the rates increase and marker drops hard.

    1. kwadjo okai says:
      January 18, 2022 at 9:27 pm

      But why would the market drop when interest rates go up? How does that affect retail investors
      It only affects investors who borrowed money to invest and did do with a variable rate

    2. Ferrari 360 Modena says:
      January 18, 2022 at 9:51 pm

      You sound like a total amateur man. What do you think is getting priced in now with the selling that has been occurring with rates at 0 lol. Not to mention almost everything high p/e, which has been dropping for months.

    3. Paul Cruz says:
      January 18, 2022 at 9:54 pm

      @Ferrari 360 Modena exactly. The market has priced in 4 rate hikes this year and 2-3 next year. Taking into effect inflation that is still a real negative interest rate environment.

    4. Callisto Moon says:
      January 19, 2022 at 3:40 am

      Rate hikes are priced in now.

    5. Daniel Mejia says:
      January 22, 2022 at 6:19 pm

      @Ferrari 360 Modena lol I guess their pricing it in more and more huh 🤔. Diamonds hands lad. Love the amateur comment lmao

  6. Adi Adindas says:
    January 18, 2022 at 8:33 pm

    “Its never too early to sell.” Do you sell your stock at a loss when you know it will go back at some time in the future ??

    1. Martin Alley says:
      January 20, 2022 at 6:16 pm

      If you think it’s going to fall further before going back up, yes

  7. spidey974 says:
    January 18, 2022 at 8:46 pm

    They should make these commentators disclose their positions before they speak.

    1. Chris Choir says:
      January 18, 2022 at 11:42 pm

      they don’t do that when the market is going up… can’t have it both ways

    2. Slimecrazy234 says:
      January 19, 2022 at 12:59 am

      100% this guy has some short positions.

    3. spidey974 says:
      January 19, 2022 at 7:46 am

      On fast money they do. It gives the audience context and avoids that Bill Ackerman BS from two years ago.

    4. thedoctorPB says:
      January 19, 2022 at 12:06 pm

      @Slimecrazy234 100%

  8. Shawn says:
    January 18, 2022 at 9:02 pm

    Difference between now and during the Tech Bubbles is there are so much money pumped into the system. Sure, there will be correction coming, but not crash like 50%.

    1. Sal Peralta says:
      January 20, 2022 at 11:49 pm

      Markets are extremely overvalued overall. Economic conditions aren’t normal at all. Stocks will correct a lot. Huge fiscal and monetary policy is to blame. A huge fiscal package was definitely needed but it had to be extremely targeted which it was not.

    2. Clearanceman2 says:
      January 21, 2022 at 4:08 pm

      @xxx s Already 20 percent, you think it’s over? Another 15% next week I bet

    3. xxx s says:
      January 22, 2022 at 11:08 am

      @Clearanceman2 Nasdaq is down 15 pct from ATH,so at least 5 pct more

    4. Shariff Reh says:
      January 22, 2022 at 1:39 pm

      @Sal Peralta Markets are not over valued, some of the stocks are. More than 50% of the stocks in Nasdaq have fallen 50% than their ATH

    5. Steve Ames says:
      January 24, 2022 at 12:39 am

      Ah yes, the famous “this time it’s different”

  9. Ferrari 360 Modena says:
    January 18, 2022 at 9:05 pm

    Nasdaq down 10% and high p/e stocks have been dropping for months already. Nothing new to see yet so many people talking like this is just starting.

  10. Ferrari 360 Modena says:
    January 18, 2022 at 9:28 pm

    The way he just straight up calls for a 50% drop in the Nasdaq is nuts.

    1. Justin Madrid says:
      January 19, 2022 at 12:58 am

      He’s trying to cash in on all the options he’s placed. Speaking fear so he can profit.

    2. cebollo1709 says:
      January 19, 2022 at 1:15 am

      This guys are buying puts fear mongers, this tell me IMO this is the bottom 5% more Max at least on small caps, mega caps are overvalued that sure

    3. FireArm15 says:
      January 19, 2022 at 1:45 am

      Yea this dude is on something

    4. TWN321 says:
      January 19, 2022 at 6:54 pm

      He’s protecting his short position

    5. Steve Ames says:
      January 24, 2022 at 12:42 am

      Is it though? Look how hard we’ve run the last 2 years…can’t continue like this. There will be a Bear market at some point.

  11. Philippe Brunet says:
    January 18, 2022 at 11:06 pm

    He said that 50% of the market is in a bubble, not that the market would fall 50%. Here comes the Minsky Moment we’ve all been waiting for!

  12. Mike Kron says:
    January 18, 2022 at 11:50 pm

    Mr. Suzuki is suggesting we time the market? OMG I thought they said we cannot time the markets. I’m getting ready to panic BUY more soon

  13. FireArm15 says:
    January 19, 2022 at 1:45 am

    Anytime someone instills emotional fear in you when they talk you should be weary of what they’re saying and wonder what they have to gain by getting you scared

  14. lisa s says:
    January 19, 2022 at 3:38 am

    He said the same thing on 3/11/2019. “Don’t chase tech here, recommends top strategist Dan Suzuki”

    1. Chris says:
      January 19, 2022 at 6:27 pm

      This dude SUCKS. Thanks for posting his previous comments because I’ve seen it very often from Danny boy.

  15. minyaksayur says:
    January 19, 2022 at 7:55 am

    It really depends on the stocks, if you say on average it’s going to drop like 20% in my experience some stocks will do way worse than 20% especially the ones that are overvalued. then again 50% on average seems extreme but during 9/11 it’s pretty much collapsed beyond 50% over time.

  16. Manuel Reyes says:
    January 19, 2022 at 1:55 pm

    Let’s not forget that the biggest payouts in the markets don’t come from great performances but rather it’s great promotions. Stay invested, diversification for streams of incomes is very important

    1. Clearanceman2 says:
      January 21, 2022 at 4:07 pm

      Yeah, loose 80%

    2. បេះដូង says:
      January 22, 2022 at 9:59 am

      @Daniel Jamal Probably not this time. Don’t fight the Fed. Unless there’s a Fed policy change, hedge funds will keep selling.

    3. J T says:
      January 22, 2022 at 7:09 pm

      Apple and Microsoft all you need

    4. បេះដូង says:
      January 22, 2022 at 10:38 pm

      @J T Let’s wait and see their earnings reports. If they disappoint us again like Neflix, they’re going to bring down the entire market. We might see the dot come bubble burst 2.0. I’m a little scared because I’m not fully out of the market now.

    5. J T says:
      January 22, 2022 at 10:45 pm

      @បេះដូង not even will never be like Netflix first of all the PE is way to high apple and Microsoft PE is already low for great companies. And will never have 2000 happen now tech is our lives we will not survive without tech all a scam will be at ATHs again February will recover

  17. Peter Park says:
    January 19, 2022 at 3:10 pm

    The media needs to ask for position disclosure on these interviews so we can determine whether there is a positioning bias. If Bernstein is shorting tech and Nasdaq, shouldn’t we know so we can determine how much of that is hope vs reality?

  18. Dave C says:
    January 20, 2022 at 1:27 am

    Yeh, the best advice to give to us retail investors is that we should attempt to time the market and sell when we feel like there’s going to be a drop. Just because most experts can’t do this successfully doesn’t mean that we can’t.

  19. Dustinisnotavailable says:
    January 21, 2022 at 7:24 am

    I love how they’re telling you to sell now, but the smart play would have been selling or at least not buying last year when they were busy singing the praises of the market, especially tech and growth stocks.

  20. Claire miller says:
    January 25, 2022 at 3:10 pm

    I have been trading for about 6 months now and just about every trade slaps me in my face. Nearly impossible for me to catch more than a few points . I try to do top down analysis and MTF analysis, but it doesn’t work for me . I say to myself, clearly I’m in the 90% that lose money, so I open a demo account, do my analysis, then take the opposite of what I would normally take(I know, it sounds stupid but I was desperate) and get the same result. I’m starting to feel hopeless, any advice for a struggling trader?

    1. Ray smith says:
      January 25, 2022 at 3:18 pm

      @Amir betts

    2. Thomas Edwards says:
      January 25, 2022 at 8:09 pm

      Buy Tesla and hold. Saves you lots of time.

    3. steamroller82 says:
      January 27, 2022 at 1:48 am

      @Thomas Edwards what happens if Tesla gets to a peak and goes sideways for 10 years? What would you do then?

    4. Thomas Edwards says:
      January 27, 2022 at 11:26 am

      @steamroller82 Tesla is very far from its peak even near term imo. They will be matching Apple’s profits and margins in next 3 years. Look at their pace of innovation compared to literally any other company. As long as Tesla keeps smashing expectations i will keep hodling. Buying loads now.

    5. sandwichtube says:
      January 27, 2022 at 9:01 pm

      If you’re young buy and don’t sell for 40 years.

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