Emerging markets are very interesting to invest in thanks to long-term positive trends, but not the Emerging market ETF because the S&P 500 index fund, a cheap one like Vanguard might be better if we compare the top holding a bit.
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TSMC video –
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#etf #S&P500 #emergingmarkets
Great video again Sven. Love the Star capital CAPE ratio map, but it seems that it’s no longer being updated (since October).
yes, they will close it down 🙁
Sven, your content quality is top as always. Like 👍🏻 is by default once I start the video. Thanks a lot
same
I appreciate that!
WARNING: As the channel grows (thank you all for that), there are more and more scammers impersonating me. The only thing I am selling is my Research Platform and Book https://sven-carlin-research-platform.teachable.com/p/stock-market-research-platform
All that I do, the real links to my content are in the description of the video, I don’t give out my Whatsapp number and I don’t sell any Cryptocurrency related things! BE CAREFUL OUT THERE!
Since so many $$$$ were printed recently, 30% of $$$ in circulation, the $ will lose at least 30% of its value against certain foreign currencies, am I right?
The most attractive emerging market is Indonesia.
Why…?
1. Raw material.
Because they monopoly nickel which is nickel is the most important material in storage elektricity.
Car electricity, smartphone, laptop etc.
Other coal, palm oil, oil,gas,gold,aluminium,rubber, this country blessed with raw material and fertile land…and fresh water.
2. Population .
indonesia is 4th larger …after china, usa, and India.
Which mean workforce and also potensial market.
Also dominate by young age which is good in the future.
3. Geography.
Stand between india and china. Indonesia will be great advantage.
Not only good for trade but world main power need indonesia as neutralize zone in term geo-politics..whuch is good for ekonomi.
4. Democracy.
Unlike china…indonesia adopted democracy since 1998 which is goid for capitalism to grow.
5. But indonesia also have weakness.
5.a natural disaster. Sitting in ring of fire , indonesia suffer earth quake, tsunami, vulcano .
5.b infrastructure.
But thus weakness also an oppurtunity for investment in infrastructure.
Hi Sven, with a good P/E ratio why aren’t people piling into Russia? Is it hard to invest in, you said you are long there?
The scamming situation is awful. I hope this gets sorted somehow. Your channel deserves so much better Sven 🙂
Also, would you like us to flag/report these spam comments for you? Or would that affect you? Because these impersonators use the exact same name and profile picture as you
Great content. I quit all my ETFs a few days ago and you approved my decision :). I appreciate your content because it is not mainstream and it is with a lot of wisdom. Almost every one is following ETF and this made me a bit skeptical :). Thank you!!!
Yeah a lot of people are automatically putting 401k/Ira…each month into those etfs.
Great to hear!
Another great video Sven!
I’m bullish on Turkey and Singapore for the long term; but mostly building a position with market specific ETFs at the moment.
Thanks for sharing!
Great points. I made the connection that the S&P500 was overweight the hot stocks, but I didn’t think that the emerging markets ETF would do the same. It makes sense now.
It also looks like investing in companies that sell things that the people in India like is a good idea long term.
I am subscribed to a lot of investment channels in youtube. I have to say that out of all of them Sven’s channel is my favorite in comparison he goes beyond just 1 dimensional views of analysis. he analyses stocks from many angles to get a more realistic valuation of the company. i agree with pretty much most of his views and learn from him as well.
Wow, thank you!
I’ve had etfs. I don’t feel like a owner with them unlike the companies I typically buy. Pretty cool driving through wind farms everyday that I own a % of. I do most of it that way , easier to hold and harder to sell. Makes me put a lot more thought into things.
smart!
Another interesting video, thank you, Sven. Just as food for thought – when predicting future growth rates it might be a bit one-sided to simply look at the development of demographic data. We should bear in mind that especially in the developed world an generation of future inheritors will accumulate a huge buying power. They might be smaller in numbers compared to developing markets but their consumer behaviour might be very different from what we are used to.
Unless you change the tax rates for wealth distribution. Fink and Dalio mentioned that.
that is a good point – but their costs will be high too as taking care of an older and older population. Plus populism, taxes, declining growth and other issues on negative trend.
Thank you, Sven. Looking forward to more coverage about EM. What do you think about “equal weight” ETFs? Following your reasoning, these might be worth a look
many questions on equal weight – will have to do a video!
this is great! I see Asia currently undervalued and with huge future growth in GDP with comparison to the EEUU markets. Also you have the factor of the growing inflation with the USD. Do you think we are going to see a huge flow of capital to these emerging markets in the near future? Maybe it makes the bubble pop? It’s a really interesting situation.
don’t know where will capital flow.
I do think the equal weighted etf’s are pretty intresting. I made an argument that we should use that as our benchmark in school but it was not accepted well.
ah, every mechanical strategy is something I don’t like.
Thanks, interesting. An “equal weight” ETF could be the solution to avoid to have too much exposure to overvalued companies?
I have to again look at an equal weight portfolio, then you there sell the good and buy more of the bad 🙂
Hey Sven, thanks to you I didn’t invest in etfs. I have been investing in 4 great companies. Have been beating the market last 3 years. (I know it’s a bull market) my stocks are not tech. They have great balance sheets. 4 companies have honestly been enough. I think I will do great next 10 years. Even if market doesn’t go up or down
@♜ Pinned now daily bread lol such a scam!!!
Great to hear! Sorry for the scammers, I guess it comes with size!
You will be doing everyone a favor if you mention your course and research platform every time in your video. So much value! Thank you Sven! You made me wanting to study like I were in college before finals.
I appreciate that!
Hello Sven, I used your intrinsic value calculator to determin the value of stocks like Intel. I noticed that you use random terminal multiples in your calculations. I found, that one can use EV/EBITDA as terminal multiple (can be found e.g. under gurufocus.com for individual stocks). Is this measurement applicable in your intrinsic value calculator? And if yes, should one use the maximum individual EV/EBITDA for the worst or, instead, the best case scenario? Thx in advance ♥️
depends on the company
Great video. Just one point about the fees: you can invest in the IEMG ETF for just 0,11% fee
thanks for sharing`!
This was very timely as I also had the same reservations for an EM ETF. Thanks for bringing our attentions to the caveats of index fund investing.
Great to hear!
I like and subscribed 🙂 Always an amazing macro-overview with intriguing micro-details! Question then – if ETF is not a good alternative, where would you suggest for us to look when it comes to investing into emerging markets?
Hello Sven, thanks for your video! You didn’t mention a positive aspect about accumulating etfs. Being reinvested dividends tax exempted, you can compound at least 25% more of your earnings over years (and pay taxes only when you sell it After many years, hopefully). The question is that if this aspect can offset the purchase of overpriced stocks.
that is bullshit – if you buy bullshit for tax reasons you will likely pay very little taxes anyway :-)) Scusa!
@Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D. I agree about that… But my reasoning was about buying good stuff like the s&p 500, msci EM, bought at reasonable price (not today, at least the s&p at crazy multiples ). In that case, even a few overvalued stocks can’t prevent the market return to be let’s say 8-10% at least. Moreover, if you don’t have to give 25% of your dividends to the government, you can have a greater compounded interest. I thought it was a good point.