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In early December when the markets were hitting new high, contrarian forecaster David Hunter predicted that the S&P would soon correct by 10%.
And that’s exactly what has happened this month, with his downside target of 4300 getting hit in Monday’s washout.
He now expects the mother of all meltups to follow over the next several months raising the S&P 500 index all the way to 6000…to then be immediately followed by an 80% market correction.
Bold calls for sure. Will the prove correct the way this other recent forecasts have?
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#marketcrash #meltup #Fed
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I agree with this analysis. Melt up relative to the dollar followed by a melt down. But not a melt up compared to gold.
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I dunno. The predators-that-be and predator-class have developed some very powerful and effective artificial mechanisms to manipulate precious metals. And clearly they believe they need to counteract the recognition that the dollar is worthless trash “relative to real, legal, original, constitutional money”.
@max bootstrap keep stacking, central banks out there are
Looking forward to seeing if Dave’s forecast comes to fruition. I for one find it improbable.
Improbable is good : if it happens, the bookies will eat their hats…
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I’m not seeing his side of the story I think we could see a rally here of maybe 10% but that’s about it
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The low was on the 24th of January this year at 4239.3 on the S&P 500 spot on David 👊
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With midterms coming, the Fed won’t be able to ignore inflation even if it i accompanied by a huge rally in the markets. The base, especially that of the democrats, generally isn’t in the stock market. I’m airing on the side of the Fed opting to stay the course with tightening interest rate hikes for the first half of the year.
Where do you think the democrats invest ? Renminbi ? Ruble ? I am a Liberal all my investments in Cuba. LOL
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Have you seen the red state republicans…. The gun loving bible thumpers? You think they’re invested in the market
I don’t know about a melt up but I’m pretty confident things will get worse for the majority of Americans in the coming years.
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A potential massive unwind is imminent should volatility get out of control. The underlying mechanics of the market could trigger a relentless amount of selloffs. But it’s far too easy for investors to lose perspective. Whenever something big goes wrong, a lot of people panic and hold on to money that should be working for them. It’s crazy. The market will remain a money den for those who know where to look. Leverage on this
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@Prof Derek Yeah I got that.. thanks anyways
With many key tech stocks down 50% already, I’m not sure how a melt up can happen at this point.
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Great interview, Adam. Thank you!
I am not an expert and I don’t know if Mr. Hunter is right or wrong. But there are many reasons to question the notion that rate hikes move the market. Having said that, his prediction may still come true even if the Fed increases the interest rate. And I say that because there is the school of thought, and recent history shows, that rate hikes have been good for stocks.
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Yeah, I disagree at this point that there will be some great melt-up to the level he is talking about. Where is the money going to come from? The FED is talking taper, raising rates, we already have the precedence of what happens when they do. I could see his idea playing out if the FED turns and we continue on the same path we were on with printing money.
Plenty of oligarchs needing to make the most out of their bucks before oil gets relegated to burning in oil lamps again… Plus, all the Baby-boomers pension funds will be taking risks to level up the coming withdrawal inflows.
We just had a correction, all those who cashed out will join the party too. It‘s game on, you‘ll see.
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You don’t need lots of cash if you instead have very little sellers and lots of buyers
With so many algorithm trading systems in the market, they could cause a huge surge upwards from them alone. All these massive swings we are seeing is mostly down to them
Amazing video, part of me hopes David is right but part of me worries for the millions of people that will lose billions ir not trillions!
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Still remember Michael Burry’s tweet last year, when he as usual was early to call the top and predicted the bust, the common line being “Parabolic tops never end well” , and that’s what I really liked from Dave, the emphasis on investor psychology. Great informative discussion. 👍🏻
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Lost a lot of money listening to Mr Burry.
And yet its pure guessing
@L L everything in financial services or investment in any asset class is a guess work, the knowledgeable ones make informed guess, the only thing certain is a debacle waiting to happen in US courtesy the circus of government running and ruining everything.
As always, an outstanding interview with the great David Hunter 👏
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We’ve heard this for 10 years, one more rally and then the big drop. The 50% drop never happens. It just keeps melting up.
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Lol no doubt
While I’m subscribed and watch your videos as they are uploaded, this one in particular is especially good. Thank you for the effort and care you apply to the Wealthion channel. I reached much the same conclusion post 01/26 FOMC as Mr. Hunter. FWIW, I concur. Let’s see what happens!
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Mr. Hunter is the best contrarian forecaster in our time and he so graciously shares his insights with us. Blessed to have him on YouTube and Twitter.
David Hunter is one of a kind and simply an amazingly accurate forecaster. I’m sitting on the edge of my seat to see who will be right. Jeremy Grantham’s warning that we are now in the “meltdown,” or David’s forecast that the rocket ship is about to take off, then meltdown. Either way, the end result will be the same! Horrible.
Both are legends. Grantham himself admits he’s early on his calls though. Jeremy will be proven right but so will David. Amazing stuff Adam! One day hope to buy you a beer!
@kunalmjoshi Yes, both are legends. And Grantham now says his prior warning was a few months early… Happily, I did heed J Grantham’s “Last Dance” advisory published almost a year ago. I sold out of all my crazy profitable tech stocks that had made CRAZY money, and I was happy enough for that. But it was painful to sit on the sidelines and watch my friends continue to make crazy money these past 10 months. Now with most of those stocks down 50-70%, and I’m REALLY happy I left the party early! Watch Grantham’s latest interview from last week. He now says he absolutely certain we’re in the unwind NOW. Perhaps that forecast can dovetail David’s as both are saying this is an insane investing environment, and will end very very badly! Good luck and investing to you!
The “FED policy mistake” has already happened, namely keeping conditions too easy for way too long. They are now trapped by that mistake. The weird thing is that for the last few months they went to “we can retire the term transitional” and yet they kept pouring gas, albeit less, on the fire. David has a great reputation and I for one will not be surprised if he is right but I am a skeptic.
THANK YOU for yet another awesome video. I watch these every week without fail just to stay up to date with the latest thinking and therefore keep on top of my portfolio. Alas I cannot use any of your financial advisors as I’m outside the US 🥺
Buying and selling out of the US is easy peasy – as we’ve been absent since Oct. 2021
David is great! Regret I didn’t follow his call for rising 10year treasury to 2% from 1.3%, lost few thousand. Made great on shorting qqq, tesla.