6 Reasons Why This SP500 Crash is Going to Be Devastating

Comments (54) on “6 Reasons Why This SP500 Crash is Going to Be Devastating”

1. I would appreciate if you could share your view on the SPX/TLT Rotation.

   1. 📩🔝Thanks for the comment~
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2. Absolutely amazing amount of research and detail in this video, the same as all the others! That’s why I’m a member of your site. Thanks for your hard work 👍🏼

   1. Lol he just does these vids to have people buy his membership

   2. @Knowledge77 Who likes to work for free? The thing is that his public content is great – doesn’t matter the what he wants. I’m not a member, but I could think that there are some even more interesting insights and precise hints on the market in his membership area

3. Our system relies on people being bad consumers and living in constant debt.

   Imagine if a button was pushed that turned every citizen into a (responsible) frugal consumer.
   Boom. Instant Depression.

   Our system doesn’t actually want the masses of people to be smart. It relies and advocates for people to be wasteful and materialistic.
   Public schools are designed to push people out to be just smart enough to run the machines. And with constant advertising and social engineering we are programmed to live in debt, and to be ok with it.
   A switch in that mindset within the general population will cause societal systematic economic change.

   With most Americans in debt up to their eyeballs, corporations hesitate to raise wages relevant to profits. This will aid in a collapse.
   Greed helps in causing depressions.

   1. What you’re saying is against common sense. A society of responsible and frugal citizens would create a much better economy, as they would more efficiently allocate the available resources. A society in which young White men are convinced by the media to waste their live with suicide, drugs, pornography, and general nihilism cannot succeed.

   2. I think this is the most brilliant write up i ever read. Is this your theory or did you read about it somewhere? i would like to read the book you read if so. if not then maybe you should write a book. lol

   3. This would only work in an economy that didn’t practice usery

   4. @blessed Read Chris Hedges.

   5. Absolutely true. The system you described characteristic of any modern country. The question is that, how long can this system continue to exist. 10 or 100 years? nothing is forever and this is normal.

4. Wealth inequality topped in 1929.
   The great depression started in 1929.

   Greed helps cause depressions.

   1. Greed helps end them too 🤷🏽‍♂️

   2. The current debt-asset bubble blown by the central banks just like the previous bubbles.

5. I totally agreee , the nexy decade or so will be a scenario of low returns and after a fall a big sideways move! Keep your stuff coming excellent !

   1. 🔮

6. Will any stocks thrive during the S&P downturn? How about a supply-constrained 50% year-over-year growth company like Tesla that has 30% margins? Would love to see your research on the kind of stocks that prosper when the S&P slides downward.

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   2. +1

   3. Same.

7. One of the things to be aware of is a lot of these charts are after the fact. So in 2008 when real yields on the S&P went negative it was to late. The market had crashed and earnings had plummeted. Its like saying well i crashed my car so now i have to slow down.

8. Timing is what matters finally…

9. Great stuff! Thank you.

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10. If that were to happen, it would be an end of a 40 year stable uptrend – there won’t be just financial repercussions but a chance of inducing very serious social problems which might well just be the first two dominoes to fall.

    1. That is actually a brilliant prediction. Thanks form sharing it because you certainly are correct.

    2. You are right on the money. I made the same point on another GOT video and I got ridiculed. The stock market is just the 10y US bond rate upside down for 40 years. Reagan till Covid. Rates were reduced over and over again within a neat channel downward till zero. The USA is out of gas. Social unrest is just the beginning and the predicament will lead the USA to more wars.

11. Most small to mid caps have already crashed 50% plus in the last 12 months.

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12. It could be a series of Volcanic explosions that cloud the skys and stop all commerce.

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13. Thanks for the videos (for all of them!!) But why did you release this one now?? 😅 This is scaring me!! We have a long bull run before this fall right??

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    2. Lol what do indians know? Go be your dalit

14. Always Brilliant! So well researched and informative. It’s going to be very interesting to see how this year pans out. Everyone’s just been so bullish it’s hard to readjust your mindset to the opposite scenario.

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    2. Do you know of some well reasoned videos from people with a more bullish stance? I’m curious what their thought process is.

15. 1st wave since 40s is +650%, 2nd since 70s -60%, 3rd since 1980 is +760%, 4th 2000 is -60% and now 5th is top around 4900usd with +650%… what a coincidence

    1. Yes -75% is coming for sure

    2. @sugarbar 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

    3. I got cash in hand, bring the blood bath

16. What platform are you using for the analysis in your videos?

    1. Trading View

17. Thank you for a very good overview of the markets, I particularly like the neutral stance you have taken. I like the research and that you point out exceptions. Really good video to watch if you want a macro overview of the markets. Thank you!

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    2. Taking a neutral stance in economic predictions is not something that is intellectual valid. To say, “the charts say it might happen, but don’t be surprised if it doesn’t,” is what every fortune teller has ever said. He has pointed to numerous historic indicators that may or may not still be relevant. It is not helpful to point at the Crash of 29, or crash 2008, and say we are in the exact same position today. In fact, very little today correlates to the the circumstances from those years. The most brilliant Ivy League minds are unable to forecast the direction of the economy more than once or twice per life time.

    3. @John Simcox highlighting possiblities without bias, I’ll take that over personal bias of up-only or down-only (neither are helpful IMO), and he pointed out when they didnt work as well, nothing is right 100% of the time. You are right, it is unlikely that many, if any, (without calling the top every new ATH) will call the exact top, they are allowed to share their ideas though. IMO I think it is naive to think that the crash of 29 is not relevant, history doesnt repeat but it often rhymes. He has presented things that have previously indicated tops before corrections and then allowed the viewers to draw their own conclusions. IMO it is a nice summary of different indicators.

       IMO, it seems global economics have reached a tipping point, this video give a number of indicators which might show confluence to what might happen next. If he then comes out with a video in a few months saying he called the top with certainty, then I agree with your fortune tellers comment.

       If you dont like the content why are you bothering to watch it and then taking the time to reply to a random strangers comment. Have a good weekend.

    4. @Andrew McAllister
       On the contrary, I like his videos. But you have to admit, he overtly asks for comments why he might be wrong. Have a great weekend!

    5. @John Simcox yeah, he does seem to be, I guess it is useful to gauge what a broader mind thinks incase there is a gem of knowledge to be gained. Also good to gauge centement of listeners. I have commented previously where he showed a metric and used it for comfirmation bias rather than pointing out where it was right and didnt work, so I am glad he is open about that here.

18. Great stuff. I heard on another podcast that much of the dip across markets is due to margin accounts being liquidated. Watching the momentum…

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19. I see a correction down to near 3000 for the S&P. It couldn’t go up forever.

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20. Perhaps factor in money supply in the P/E ratios?

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